Israel couldn’t wait around. Palestine wanted to play the long-wait game, Israel didn’t have the patience or the inclination. And it isn’t over.
Martin Harris 26/8/24
I’m no geopolitical analytical genius. But lets see if I understand the sequence of events in the Middle East over the past few weeks. Feel free to correct me if I’m wrong.
Four weeks ago, Israel assassinated Faud Shukr, a Hezbollah commander: Who was Fuad Shukr, the Hezbollah commander killed by Israel in Beirut? | Hezbollah News | Al Jazeera
Things being what they are in the “eye-for-an-eye” world of Mid-east politics, some sort of revenge was expected.
Over the past week or so, the MSM have been drumming up the “escalation imminent” narrative. The world poises on the edge of its chair.
Simultaneously, there are calls to come to the table and talk peace (and we all know how long that lasts) and Israel have been telling the UK that they are “expected” to take arms and join the battle when (not if) Hezbollah’s strike comes.
Subsequently, Palestine appears to have taken a measured approach. Perhaps a psychological tactic; make Israel sweat? Perhaps just caution? No immediate retaliation. No word of what form it will take. “Wait and see”.
And then came yesterday. Israel couldn’t wait, wouldn’t wait. No more talking, no more hanging around. Taking a leaf from Bush Junior’s playbook, Israel launched a pre-emptive strike. And Hezbollah responded.
Allegedly Hezbollah’s response is now over and its back to the talking table, with both sides having claimed victory over the exchange of hostilities:
Both Israel and Hezbollah tried to present their strikes on Sunday as a major success.
- Israel said it managed to thwart a large-scale Hezbollah attack with a preemptive strike.
- Hezbollah claimed its major attack was successful and said it had ended its military operations for the day.
- The exchange of blows, which U.S. and Israeli officials feared could ignite a much larger crisis in the region, appears contained for now, officials said.
Israel and Hezbollah both claim victory after night of heavy fighting (axios.com)
Problem being that Israel appears to have demonstrated that talking and waiting isn’t on their agenda.
Both sides are now openly saying “this isn’t over” (no surprises there):
“Israel and Hezbollah both warn they could strike again” says the BBC Israel Hezbollah latest: Hezbollah says ‘first phase’ of its attack is over after exchange of strikes with Israel – BBC News
Did I miss anything here?
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