Here’s an excerpt from the introduction:
Public health lessons learned from biases in coronavirus mortality overestimation
Ronald B. Brown, PhD
School of Public Health and Health Systems
“On September 23, 1998, the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) permanently lost contact with the $125 million Mars Climate Orbiter.
1 A simple miscalculation, failure to convert English measurements to metric measurements, doomed the Mars space mission.
2 A later investigation found that backup quality assurance procedures were not in place at NASA to catch and correct this simple miscalculation.
Fast forward 22 years to another crisis involving a U.S. government agency:
On March 11, 2020, the U.S. Congress House Oversight and Reform Committee received information from the National Institute of Allergy and
Infectious Diseases (NIAID) concerning the novel coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and coronavirus-disease 2019 (COVID-19).3 Based on the data available at the time, Congress was informed that the estimated mortality rate for the coronavirus was ten-times higher than for seasonal influenza, which helped launch a campaign of social distancing, organizational and business lockdowns, and shelter-in-place orders.
Previous to the Congressional hearing, a less severe estimation of coronavirus mortality appeared in a February 28, 2020 editorial released by NIAID and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Published online in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM.org), the editorial stated:
“…the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%).”
Almost as a parenthetical afterthought, the NEJM editorial inaccurately stated that 0.1% is the approximate case fatality rate of seasonal influenza. By contrast, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported that 0.1% or lower is the approximate influenza infection fatality rate,
not the case fatality rate...”
Read the whole document here:
Well worth the read and well worth keeping as a handy resource!
..it has to be said though, that this “overestimation” has been awfully convenient in terms of getting the “free world” to swallow totalitarian police-state measures they would otherwise resist!